C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9 <\/b>l\u00e0 b\u00ed k\u00edp m\u00e0 d\u00e2n ch\u01a1i n\u00e0o c\u0169ng mu\u1ed1n bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ee7i ro. B\u1ea1n c\u00f3 t\u00f2 m\u00f2 mu\u1ed1n kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1 xem c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c th\u1ea7n k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng n\u00f3 v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 “h\u1ed1t b\u1ea1c” kh\u00f4ng? C\u00f9ng <\/span>KUBET<\/b><\/a> t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u ngay!<\/span><\/p>\n
Hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 <\/span>c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly l\u00e0 g\u00ec <\/b>s\u1ebd gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng n\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch th\u00f4ng minh v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n.<\/span><\/p>\n
C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly, nghe c\u00f3 v\u1ebb cao si\u00eau nh\u01b0ng th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n. N\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m v\u1ed1n m\u00e0 b\u1ea1n n\u00ean \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n ch\u01a1i.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00e1ng t\u1ea1o b\u1edfi John Larry Kelly Jr., m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc t\u1ea1i Bell Labs v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1956, v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch ban \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 d\u00e0nh cho th\u00f4ng tin v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u00f3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng trong c\u00e1 c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1edfi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn mong \u0111\u1ee3i, gi\u00fap ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01a1i t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong khi v\u1eabn ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u1ee7i ro.<\/span><\/p>\n
C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9<\/b> \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f3 d\u1ea1ng:<\/span><\/p>\n
Kelly % = W \u2013 [(1 \u2013 W) \/ R]<\/span><\/p>\n
. Trong \u0111\u00f3:<\/span><\/p>\n
. V\u00ed d\u1ee5 minh h\u1ecda<\/b>: Gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c trong m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea5u m\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n l\u00e0 60% v\u00e0 m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n th\u1eafng, b\u1ea1n ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n c\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u00c1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3:<\/span><\/p>\n
Theo \u0111\u00f3, b\u1ea1n n\u00ean \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c 40% s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho c\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u.<\/span><\/p>\n
S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi b\u1ea1n ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft v\u1ec1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u01b0\u1ee3c, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea7n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh li\u00ean t\u1ee5c d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean kinh nghi\u1ec7m c\u00e1 c\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. N\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1eafc l\u1ef1c trong vi\u1ec7c t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn m\u00e0 c\u00f2n gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n b\u1ea3o to\u00e0n v\u1ed1n trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f4ng may m\u1eafn.<\/span><\/p>\n
>>> Xem th\u00eam: <\/i><\/b>K\u00e8o Indo L\u00e0 G\u00ec? Ph\u00e2n T\u00edch S\u00e2u V\u1ec1 T\u1ef7 L\u1ec7 C\u01b0\u1ee3c Indonesia<\/i><\/b><\/a><\/p>\n
D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ec7m chi ti\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng <\/span>c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9<\/b> m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/span><\/p>\n
T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u01b0\u1ee3c, hay W, l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n b\u1ea1n n\u00ean \u0111\u1eb7t v\u00e0o m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n c\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u0110\u1ec3 t\u00ecm W, b\u1ea1n ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n t\u00ednh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m s\u1ed1 l\u1ea7n th\u1eafng so v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/span><\/p>\n
. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c t\u00ednh W<\/b>:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
W = S\u1ed1 l\u1ea7n th\u1eafng c\u01b0\u1ee3c \/ T\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 l\u1ea7n c\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n
V\u00ed d\u1ee5 minh h\u1ecda<\/b>: Gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed b\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 c\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 100 l\u1ea7n v\u00e0 th\u1eafng 55 l\u1ea7n, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng c\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n l\u00e0: W = 55 : 100 = 0.55<\/span>
\n<\/span>Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng l\u00e0 55%.<\/span><\/p>\n
Sau khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng, b\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n t\u00ednh to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh R, t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i khi th\u1eafng so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c c\u01b0\u1ee3c trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n.<\/span><\/p>\n
. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c t\u00ednh R<\/b>:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n c\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1eafng \/ M\u1ee9c c\u01b0\u1ee3c trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n
. V\u00ed d\u1ee5 minh h\u1ecda<\/b>: N\u1ebfu m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n th\u1eafng, b\u1ea1n nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 200 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0 m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n c\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1eb7t 100 \u0111i\u1ec3m, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0: R = 200 : 100 = 2<\/span><\/p>\n
V\u1edbi W v\u00e0 R \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh, b\u1ea1n b\u00e2y gi\u1edd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ednh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Kelly \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m v\u1ed1n n\u00ean \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/span><\/p>\n
. \u00c1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c<\/b>: Kelly % = W \u2013 [(1 \u2013 W) \/ R]<\/span><\/p>\n
V\u00ed d\u1ee5 v\u1edbi W = 0.55 v\u00e0 R = 2:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
=> <\/b>Kelly %= 0.55 – [(1 – 0.55) \/ 2] = 0.325<\/span><\/p>\n
T\u1ee9c l\u00e0 b\u1ea1n n\u00ean \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c 32.5% s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh cho l\u1ea7n c\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/span><\/p>\n
D\u1ef1a v\u00e0o t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Kelly \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ednh, b\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u00e0y v\u1edbi s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n c\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/span><\/p>\n
V\u00ed d\u1ee5<\/b>: N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 5.000.000 VN\u0110, s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n b\u1ea1n n\u00ean c\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
5.000.000 \u00d7 32.5%= 1.625.000 VN\u0110<\/span><\/p>\n
V\u1edbi v\u00ed d\u1ee5 tr\u00ean, b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c 1.625.000 VN\u0110 cho l\u1ea7n c\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eafp t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch khoa h\u1ecdc nh\u1ea5t.<\/span><\/p>\n
C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9<\/b> l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng t\u1ed1i \u0111a s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a n\u00f3, b\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n n\u1eafm v\u1eefng m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/span><\/p>\n
V\u1eady l\u00e0 b\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 n\u1eafm trong tay c\u00e1ch \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng <\/span>c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9<\/b> r\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea5y! H\u00e3y nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh chinh ph\u1ee5c th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00e1 c\u01b0\u1ee3c. H\u00e3y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u1ecdc h\u1ecfi, kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1 v\u00e0 t\u00ecm ra nh\u1eefng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi phong c\u00e1ch ch\u01a1i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng m\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n
M\u1ecdi th\u00f4ng tin chi ti\u1ebft vui l\u00f2ng li\u00ean h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9i ng\u0169 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a KUBET theo:<\/span><\/p>\n
C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong c\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u00e0 b\u00ed k\u00edp m\u00e0 d\u00e2n ch\u01a1i n\u00e0o c\u0169ng mu\u1ed1n bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ee7i ro. B\u1ea1n c\u00f3 t\u00f2 m\u00f2 mu\u1ed1n kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1 xem c\u00f4ng…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11046,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-huong-dan-ca-cuoc"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11044","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11044"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11044\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11049,"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11044\/revisions\/11049"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11046"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11044"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11044"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vnkubet77.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11044"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}